For the past 48 hours, I have been witnessing political insanity mostly from my own party, but also from the White House.
First of all, President Obama caved to public outcry from both sides of the aisle and released his birth certificate in a manner that was meant to be as in the finale of Aaron Sorkin’s, “The American President.” Whether the birth certificate is real is not the subject of this article. I really don’t care whether it is real or not. I see it as a distraction: A distraction away from President Obama’s record. I don’t care if he planned it that way or whether it just happened that way. It does not matter. The longer this ridiculous argument goes on regarding his birth certificate, the longer his record will be ignored. And, the longer his record is ignored, the more of a chance this man will be reelected. It is a simple tautology. There is no other way to look at it.
In order for any Republican candidate to beat the President, the following must occur:
1. We must win every red state. There can be no North Carolina, Virginia and/or Indiana’s again. This is an absolute necessity.
2. We must win almost every one of the swing states. As you know, these include, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, Nevada and New Mexico.
3. We may have to win either Michigan or Wisconsin
In order for number two or three to occur, we must win a large portion of the Reagan Democrats (if such a thing still exists) and we must win a large portion of the independents; the dreaded swing vote. This will be impossible if we continue this ridiculous arguing about the President’s birth certificate. Let’s talk about his record and get off of this once and for all.
Here is a chart that was forwarded to me by a fellow conservative yesterday:
|January 2009||TODAY||% chg||Source|
|Avg.. Retail price/gallon gas in U.S.||$1.83||$3.44||84%||1|
|Crude oil, European Brent (barrel)||$43..48||$99..02||127.7%||2|
|Crude oil, West TX Inter. (barrel)||$38..74||$91..38||135.9%||2|
|Gold: London (per troy oz.)||$853.25||$1,369.50||60.5%||2|
|Corn, No.2 yellow, Central IL||$3.56||$6.33||78.1%||2|
|Soybeans, No. 1 yellow, IL||$9.66||$13..75||42.3%||2|
|Sugar, cane, raw, world, lb. Fob||$13..37||$35..39||164.7%||2|
|Unemployment rate, non-farm, overall||7.6%||9.4%||23.7%||3|
|Unemployment rate, blacks||12.6%||15.8%||25.4%||3|
|Number of unemployed||11,616,000||14,485,000||24.7%||3|
|Number of fed. Employees||2,779,000||2,840,000||2.2%||3|
|Real median household income||$50,112||$49,777||-0.7%||4|
|Number of food stamp recipients||31,983,716||43,200,878||35.1%||5|
|Number of unemployment benefit recipients||7,526,598||9,193,838||22.2%||6|
|Number of long-term unemployed||2,600,000||6,400,000||146.2%||3|
|Poverty rate, individuals||13.2%||14.3%||8.3%||4|
|People in poverty in U.S.||39,800,000||43,600,000||9.5%||4|
|U.S.. Rank in Economic Freedom World Rankings||5||9||n/a||10|
|Present Situation Index||29.9||23.5||-21.4%||11|
|U.S.. Dollar versus Japanese yen exchange rate||89.76||82.03||-8.6%||2|
|U.S.. Money supply, M1, in billions||1,575.1||1,865.7||18.4%||13|
|U.S.. Money supply, M2, in billions||8,310.9||8,852.3||6.5%||13|
|National debt, in trillions||$10..627||$14..052||32.2%||14|
(1) U.S. Energy Information Administration; (2) Wall Street Journal; (3) Bureau of Labor Statistics; (4) Census Bureau; (5) USDA; (6) U.S. Dept. Of Labor;
(7) FHFA; (8) Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller; (9) RealtyTrac; (10) Heritage Foundation and WSJ; (11) The Conference Board; (12) FDIC;
(13) Federal Reserve; (14) U.S. Treasury
Can it be any clearer? Numbers just don’t lie. There are three numbers here that pretty much say it all.
The first of these is the unemployment rate. This is just out of control. It is currently at about 8.7% nationwide and much higher in a few other states. The states most particularly hard hit are California, Nevada and Michigan. Only one of these is a guaranteed winner for Obama and that is my home state of California. The other two are in play. Yesterday, the latest weekly first time unemployment filers came in over 400,000. This makes two of the last three weeks that this number has been over 400,000. Growth in employment only happens when this number is well under 350,000. In fact, I believe the number is really closer to 300,000. So, basically unemployment is on the rise again.
The second of these is the price of oil. Why conservative radio and TV is not all over this, I do not know. This is something that hits every citizen directly in the pocketbook. And, come the summer, it will effect the whole economy. When it costs approximately $100.00 to drive from Los Angeles to Las Vegas which is a relatively short trip, how many people are going to go on vacations? Not too many. It will be short drives for holidays or no drives. This will effect every aspect of the economy and not just tourism. In fact, if oil gets any higher, President Obama may have to beg to get reelected.
I remember when Bush was President and oil prices went nuts. He immediately reacted. He permitted more
offshore drillling and exploration and did whatever was necessary to get this political landmine into control. Thus far, President Obama, in his usual fashion has done nothing. He just sits and waits. The only time he does not wait is when he is trying to take over a sector of the economy or when he wants to grow government, which leads me to my third point.
The national debt. Just look at that number in the above chart and the photo to the right. When Obama took office in January 2009, the national debt was at approximately 10,5 trillion dollars. Now, after less than 2 1/2 years of this man, the national debt is over 14 trillion dollars. That is almost a 40% increase in the debt. At the current pace, it will be about 16 trillion dollars when he gets out of office. This is an unsustainable number. We cannot service that level of debt and still be a viable economy.
In the meantime, President Obama pats himself on the back and says that the budget for fiscal year 2011, which was rammed down his throat by John Boener and Eric Cantor, has shaved about 50 billion dollars off of a 1.5 trillion dollar deficit. What is there to be proud of? This is a disgrace. Goerge W. Bush’s worst deficit was about 450 billion dollars and he was crucified by the mainstream media. Obama would be proud to have a number like that. In fact, it would be an amazing accomplishment considering that he is happy to cut the deficit by less than 4%. If he took 50 billion dollars off of a 450 billion deficit that would be doing something and it still wouldn’t be enough.
If these three issue become the attack of the Right on the President, it should be enough to defeat him. So, then why is Ralph Nader saying in an article published at Bloomberg this week, that President Obama is almost guaranteed reelection? It is very simple, we have no one out there right night who could defeat this guy and we are bickering amongst ourselves instead of uniting against him.
At the current time, there is no one that has either officially or unofficially declared that, in my opinion, can beat him except for maybe Mike Huckabee. Sarah Palin has become a joke in and of herself. Michelle Bachman appeals to even less people in the center than Sarah Palin. Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich have way too much baggage. And, well, Donald Trump, just the name says it all.
So, in concluding, I just want to state that, although this man is beatable, he will probably be reelected unless we stop the ridiculous arguments against him and we unite amongst ourselves on the one candidate who can beat him. At this point, who knows?